Wednesday, March 25, 2009

How are the Hawks going to keep Kane, Toews and Keith? (Salary Cap Outlook)

For the most part, we've been looking at these teams from a 2009-10 standpoint. Clearly, though, there are some cases in which the big storyline might be further in the future. That is the situation for the Chicago Blackhawks. So, instead of going contract-by-contract, we'll handle Chi-town from a storyline standpoint.

Chicago Blackhawks:
Most significant pending free agents this summer: Martin Havlat, Nikolai Khabibulin, Cam Barker (Sleek would be screaming Pahlsson!)
HUGELY important pending free agents two summers from now: Duncan Keith (!), Jonathan Toews (!!) and Patrick Kane (!!!)

In the next two off-seasons, the Chicago Blackhawks have all kinds of huge questions to answer about their best players. Coming up, the Hawks must decide if Humpty Dumpty Havlat is worth bringing back. Along with that, the Bulin Wall has been playing as the Hawks were hoping Cristobal Huet would be playing this season. What will they do about their "backup" goalie?

But even more interesting is the restricted free agent status of their three best players: Keith, Toews and Kane are all subject to Dustin Penner inspired crazy offer sheet negotiations.
For me, the biggest question is: how can you pay Brian Campbell more than Keith, Toews and Kane? Perhaps Toews will take a "wearing the C" discount, but Kane is one of the best young players in the NHL. While Keith doesn't get the kind of matinee attention of Toews or Kane, he's been mentioned as a borderline Norris candidate and will probably be in line for a big raise.

What kind of money would it take to lock up those three? To me, $18 million would be an absolute steal.

So, Blackhawks fans, what do you think will happen? Will the honeymoon come to a screeching halt as the Hawks lose one of their big three? Will they blow their cap for the 2009-10 season? Or will they learn the Penguins' pain by having to surround Kane-Toews-Keith with cheap veteran help? I'm all ears.

Please note: NHLSCAP.com seems half and half when it comes to being up to date, so I might keep an eye on things and make an update on the following section:

Best contract: Patrick Sharp
($3.9 million through 2011-12)
Worst contracts: Brian Campbell ($7.1 million through 2015-16); Cristobal Huet ($5.6 million through 2011-12)
Committments for 2009-10: $37.5 million
Players under contract 2009-10: 6 forwards, 6 defensemen, 1 goalie
Committments for 2010-11:
$25.5 million
Players under contract 2010-11:
2 forwards, 3 defensemen, 1 goalie

6 comments:

Earl Sleek said...

(Sleek would be screaming Pahlsson!)

Damn straight.

Still, I'm kind of hoping the Blackhawks and 29 teams overlook the Swedish Overlord this summer and he sneaks his way back onto the Ducks. It's way wishful thinking, sure, but I've always been a sucker for blind optimism.

jamestobrien said...

I could see Pahlsson pulling the 'ol Keith Tkachuk/Mark Recchi routine of going back to the team that traded him.

Also, I didn't realize today was Central Division day on CLS but so be it!

(As I was typing this some caller said "Shit" on NHL Live, which I think is the first exciting moment in the show's history.)

Clare said...

I personally think that the biggest detriment to the Blackhawks will be the drop in the cap. There will simply be not enough money to go around. Kane, Toews and Keith are going to demand a lot of money and even if all three of them, like you said, take a discount how much money will be left for the rest of the team. I am probably not the best person to ask because I am too emotionally attached to this team, but there are other guys that are also important to this team and I would hate to see them go. I am very glad I am not the GM because this is a very big problem for the Hawks.

Almost Paperless said...

Trade Kane. He is very good but he will never be a playoff player due to his size. When the checking gets tight he is too small to hold his own. The proof is that they still win when he is not on the score sheet. It's not fair but it is reality.

Wiz said...

Your concern is duly noted. Unless Toews and Kane take Detroit type discounts they will have salaries but never the nucleus to win a Cup. Huet will be offerd to Washington, Knabby will take less and fewer years, and Marty Halvat will wanna stay SO MUCH that he will also take under market to stay. And if those things happen, the Hawks challenge for a Cup the next couple years.
And if you believe half of those things happen, you are living in a dream world

Wiz said...

Your concern is duly noted. Unless Toews and Kane take Detroit type discounts they will have salaries but never the nucleus to win a Cup. Huet will be offerd to Washington, Knabby will take less and fewer years, and Marty Halvat will wanna stay SO MUCH that he will also take under market to stay. And if those things happen, the Hawks challenge for a Cup the next couple years.
And if you believe half of those things happen, you are living in a dream world